Swvl Holdings Valuation

SWVL Stock  USD 1.87  0.06  3.31%   
Based on Macroaxis valuation methodology, the company appears to be overvalued. Swvl Holdings Corp has a current Real Value of $1.78 per share. The regular price of the company is $1.87. Our model measures the value of Swvl Holdings Corp from inspecting the company fundamentals such as Shares Outstanding of 9.96 M, operating margin of (0.04) %, and Return On Equity of -4.23 as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Swvl Holdings' valuation include:
Price Book
5.0673
Enterprise Value
14.6 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
5.0728
Price Sales
0.9331
Enterprise Value Revenue
0.7544
Overvalued
Today
1.87
Please note that Swvl Holdings' price fluctuation is dangerous at this time. Calculation of the real value of Swvl Holdings Corp is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Swvl Holdings' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Swvl stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Swvl Holdings Corp. Since Swvl Holdings is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Swvl Stock. However, Swvl Holdings' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  1.87 Real  1.78 Target  125.0 Hype  1.87 Naive  1.36
The intrinsic value of Swvl Holdings' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence Swvl Holdings' stock price.
1.78
Real Value
6.88
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Swvl Holdings Corp helps investors to forecast how Swvl stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Swvl Holdings more accurately as focusing exclusively on Swvl Holdings' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.612.172.72
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.876.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.031.366.45
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
113.75125.00138.75
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Swvl Holdings' intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Swvl Holdings' financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Swvl Holdings' closest peers.

Swvl Holdings Cash

6.07 Million

About Swvl Holdings Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Swvl Holdings Corp. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Swvl Holdings Corp based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Swvl Holdings's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Swvl Holdings's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Swvl Holdings. We calculate exposure to Swvl Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Swvl Holdings's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit4.2 M4.4 M
Pretax Profit Margin(0.58)(0.61)
Operating Profit Margin(0.44)(0.47)
Net Loss(0.54)(0.57)
Gross Profit Margin 0.19  0.20 

Swvl Holdings Current Valuation Indicators

Swvl Holdings' valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Swvl Holdings' valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Swvl Holdings, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Swvl Holdings' valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Swvl Holdings' worth.
When determining whether Swvl Holdings Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Swvl Holdings' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Swvl Holdings' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Swvl Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Swvl Holdings Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in manufacturing.
You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Swvl Holdings. If investors know Swvl will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Swvl Holdings assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Earnings Share
(0.55)
Revenue Per Share
2.062
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.263
Return On Assets
(0.20)
Return On Equity
(4.23)
Understanding Swvl Holdings Corp requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Swvl's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Swvl Holdings' is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Swvl Holdings' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Swvl Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Swvl Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Swvl Holdings' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.